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What Do We See in the Market Today — December 16, 2025 (Session Close) - Chart 1
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Daily Scan

What Do We See in the Market Today — December 16, 2025 (Session Close)

Scope

Across the session, price activity continued to resolve primarily through time and internal adjustment, not through expansion in range. Instruments that surfaced repeatedly at the open and during the 10:15 scan did not transition into broad directional release by the close. Instead, the scans show that end-of-day resolution occurred through three dominant structural paths: 1. Compression Preservation A substantial subset of instruments retained compressed structure into the close, with elevated structural factors intact and no corresponding expansion in realized movement. These instruments resolved the session by remaining unresolved. 2. Controlled Decompression from Prior Runs Several names entered DECOMPRESS late in the session, not as fresh structural failures, but as orderly digestion following prior expansion phases. Liquidity remained available, spreads remained contained, and no forced unwinds were observed. 3. Transition into Pre-Convex States A notable increase in PRE-CONVEX classification emerged at the close. These instruments displayed: • high structural factors, • deeply negative dynamic measures, • intact liquidity conditions. This combination indicates stored compression rather than active engagement or release. Across these paths, the common feature was absence of ignition. Where time advanced, structure largely held.

What Changed

The defining feature of the session was that a full trading day elapsed without displacing the compression regime identified earlier. From the open through the close: • early attempts at continuation were absorbed rather than extended, • realized volatility did not expand to match persistent structural compression, • range expansion remained secondary to temporal digestion. The scans indicate that time reinforced the existing geometry rather than resolving it.

What Did Not Change

Cross-Instrument Recurrence At the close, recurrence continued to surface across unrelated sectors and vehicles, including individual equities, ETFs, and broad proxies. The clustering observed intraday persisted into EOD without collapsing into a single narrative or sector-level resolution. The recurrence is therefore attributable to shared structural conditions, not thematic alignment or event-driven behavior.

Names That Stood Out

Liquidity and Engagement Conditions Liquidity conditions into the close remained orderly: • no late-day volatility shock, • no broad liquidity withdrawal, • no closing imbalance indicative of forced participation. Engagement remained selective. The scans show repeated instances where structure was present but not activated. This refusal of engagement persisted through the final bars of the session.

Boundaries

This record documents the observable structural state of the market at session close. It does not: • predict future price movement, • infer intent or causation, • suggest positioning or strategy, • or imply outcomes. It records where the market resolved by the close, not where it goes from here.

This is a personal log of market observations based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a prediction. No action is suggested or implied.

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